After getting past its toughest opponent of the season, No. 3 Alabama now hits the road to face Mississippi State on Saturday at 7PM ET from Davis Wade Stadium.
Bet Alabama at Mississippi State The Crimson Tide is 9-0 on the season and 6-3 against the spread following a 24-15 win over LSU last weekend.
Alabama has covered the spread in every road game this season, but failed to cover in two on its last three games. All of
Alabama’s short comings in the betting odds came with it being a 14-point favorite or more.
MississippiState is 4-5 this year and 5-3 against the spread. The Bulldogs have won two of their last three straight up and covered in three straight games. All but one of
MississippiState’s wins have come on the road. Trends show that
Alabama has won six of the last eight meetings in this series, but the Bulldogs have won two of the last three, including the last meeting at Davis Wade Stadium.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made
Alabama 12.5-point road favorites over
MississippiState on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 43.5.
Picking this game is a challenge, as you have to factor in the potential for a letdown from the Tide after a gritty win against LSU last week. The last three games for
Alabama have been decided by 14 points or less and this game is likely to come down to quarterback play.
Greg McElroy is facing the weaker defense of the two as he quarterbacks
Alabama against an average Bulldogs’ defense. McElroy is the weak point of the
Alabama offense as he has completed just 59 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. The Tide have Mark Ingram to rely on at running back, with his 1,148 yards and eight touchdowns, but ultimately, McElroy will have to make some big throws for the Tide to cover.
On the flip side, Tyson Lee has struggled mightily for
MississippiState, throwing 11 interceptions with four touchdowns. Anthony Dixon has rushed for 1,001 yards and nine scores for the Bulldogs, but the Tide are holding opponents to less than 70 yards rushing per-game.
The pick in this game looks to be the Tide on paper as the spread is under 14 points, so
Alabama doesn’t have to be stellar in order to cover. While McElroy hasn’t been solid, he should get enough cushion from Ingram while
MississippiState will have to completely rely on Lee, who is a turnover machine. Pick
Alabama to cover the 12-point spread odds and look for a low scoring affair, as the under looks to also be a good pick.
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