USC vs. Arizona State College Football Picks & Odds Week 10 2009 Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Saturday, 07 November 2009 11:30
NCAAF Headline News

USC vs. ASU Pick

No. 12 USC is playing for pride on Saturday when the Trojans head to Arizona State for an 8PM ET kickoff from Sun Devil Stadium.

Bet USC at Arizona State
The Trojans are 6-2 on the year and 2-6 against the spread, but USC is coming off a 47-20 loss at Oregon, which was the Trojans worst loss since 1997. USC has had odds of nine points or more in five games this year and only covered in one of them. Both of USC’s losses come on the road, but USC has won nine-straight against the Sun Devils.

Arizona State is 4-4 on the year and 4-3 against the spread. The Sun Devils are 4-1 at home and have scored at least 17 points in each game at Sun Devil Stadium.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made USC 10-point road favorites over Arizona State on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 46.

The Trojans odds are lower than usual this week as they haven’t been quite playing up to USC standards as of late. Covering in just two games this year has lowered the point spreads for Trojan games.

Many may not know, but Arizona State has one of the top defenses in the Pac-10, giving up just 19 points and 296 yards per-game. The Sun Devils have given up just 641 total rushing yards in eight games. USC will look to run the ball with Joe McKnight, who has 712 yards rushing with seven touchdowns. Matt Barkley has thrown for 1,727 yards and nine touchdowns, but shown his inexperience as a true freshman with six interceptions and a 59 percent completion rate.

USC has been strong on defense, but the Trojans allowed 613 yards of offense to Oregon last week, including 391 rushing yards. Arizona State is more of a passing team, which should play into the Trojans favor. Danny Sullivan has thrown for 1,658 yards for the Sun Devils, but has seven interceptions to just eight touchdowns while completing only 54 percent of his passes.

With the odds not overwhelming for USC this week, this looks to be the game where a pick of the Trojans is a good move. The Pac-10 title may be out of reach, but USC is still a proud program that will be anxious to put a hurting on someone after getting embarrassed last week at Oregon. The Sun Devils have a formidable defense, but will get over-matched by USC. The Trojans won’t leave the game up to Barkley to win as the defense will shut down Arizona State and make things more manageable for the offense. Pick the Trojans to cover the odds and also pick the over for Saturday as trends show that five of the last seven meetings have gone over.

Our College Football Week 10 Free Pick for this matchup is: USC -10 and OVER 46.
College Football Week 10 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

USC is 10-5 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST since 1992

USC is 12-3 straight up against ARIZONA ST since 1992

7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

USC is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons 

USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at ARIZONA ST since 1992

USC is 4-3 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST since 1992

USC is 5-2 straight up against ARIZONA ST since 1992

5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons 

USC is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 10 College Football Injury Report
USC

[CB] 09/06/2009 - Shareece Wright out for season ( Academics ) 

[RB] 10/13/2009 - Marc Tyler out for season ( Toe ) 

[DE] 11/04/2009 - Armond Armstead is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Wrist ) 

[DL] 10/02/2009 - Hebron Fanqupo out for season ( Leg ) 

[RB] 09/29/2009 - Stafon Johnson out for season ( Throat ) 

[DE] 10/02/2009 - Marshall Jones out for season ( Neck ) 

[TE] 11/05/2009 - Anthony McCoy is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Knee ) 

[FB] 11/05/2009 - Stanley Havili is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Shoulder ) 

[DE] 11/04/2009 - Nick Perry "?" Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Shoulder ) 

[LB] 11/04/2009 - Malcolm Smith doubtful Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Shoulder ) 

[LB] 11/04/2009 - Chris Galippo injured last game, expected to play Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Neck ) 

[WR] 11/05/2009 - Ronald Johnson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Illness ) 

[DE] 11/04/2009 - Everson Griffen "?" Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Toe ) 

[LB] 11/05/2009 - Jarvis Jones is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Neck ) 

[RB] 11/05/2009 - Joe McKnight probable Saturday vs. Arizona State ( Ankle ) 

ARIZONA ST

[OG] 11/01/2009 - Zach Schlink "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Knee ) 

[WR] 11/01/2009 - Kerry Taylor "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Hamstring ) 

[C] 11/01/2009 - Thomas Altieri "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Knee ) 

[CB] 11/01/2009 - Omar Bolden "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Knee ) 

[RB] 11/01/2009 - Dimitri Nance injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Shoulder ) 

[DT] 11/04/2009 - Corey Adams out for season ( Back ) 

[WR] 11/04/2009 - T.J. Simpson out for season ( Ankle ) 

[WR] 11/05/2009 - Gerell Robinson "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Undisclosed ) 

[CB] 11/05/2009 - Terell Carr "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Side ) 
USC at Arizona State Current Odds
USC Trojans -10 Over 46 (-400)

Arizona State Sun Devils +10 Under 46 (+300)
Bet USC at Arizona State
Posted: 11/7/09 4:30PM ET

 

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