Wisconsin vs. Ohio State Prediction
Last game: (2/26/12) Wisconsin (+9.5) over OHIO STATE, 63-60. Ohio State (14-6 SU, 6-12 ATS) has won two straight, including 65-51 win over Penn State last Saturday. Wisconsin (15-4 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) is coming off an ugly, 45-44 win at home over Minnesota last Saturday, giving 3.5 to halt a two-game losing streak.
LINE MOVEMENT: Ohio State opened as a 6-point favorite and moved to 6.5 in most books. The total opened at 119.5 and moved to 120 in most books.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Ohio State. According to the latest college basketball trends, the favorite is 5-1 ATS last 6 in series. Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big Ten, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Ohio St is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win and is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 home games.
Ohio State and Wisconsin are part of a five-team logjam at the top of the Big Ten standings. Both teams are one game behind co-leaders Michigan and Indiana. The Badgers started 4-0 in conference play and lost back-to-back games before edging Minnesota 45-44 on Saturday in one of those contests that displayed the fierceness of the league. The Badgers ended a brief two-game skid with a tense 45-44 win on Traevon Jackson's 15-foot jumper from the right side with 4 seconds left at home to beat no. 12 Minnesota on Saturday. The Buckeyes are playing better, having won four of their last five, including a 65-51 victory at Penn State on Saturday - their second win in a row. Junior forward Deshaun Thomas leads the Big Ten in scoring at 20 points per game. Sophomore junior guard Lenzelle Smith Jr. (10.2) joins Thomas as Ohio State's only double-figure scorers. Expect Ohio State to romp at home against a Wisconsin team that struggles to score.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: OHIO STATE BUCKEYES -6.5