Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction
The Boston Celtics (11-9 SU, 8-10-2 ATS) split with the Sixers in their home-and-home series last Friday and Saturday. They defeated Philadelphia at home on Saturday, 92-79, giving 6. Dallas (11-10 SU, 10-11 ATS) looks to win their fourth game in a row and are coming off a 119-96 win at home over Sacramento on Monday as a 6-point favorite.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Celtics opened as a 6-point favorite and remained there in most books. The total opened at 195 and remained there in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 53% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Celtics. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Dallas. According to the latest NBA trends, Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Atlantic and are 29-13-2 ATS in their last 44 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Boston is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southwest, 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
Dallas is in a good groove right now, having won three in a row and four of five. O.J. Mayo leads the way with 20.8ppg and also adds 3.5apg. PG Darren Collison adds 12.5ppg and 5.7apg. The addition of Derek Fisher has helped stabilize the backcourt as Fisher has started the last five games and averages 7.4ppg and 3.6apg. That allows Collison to come off the bench. Up front, Chris Kaman gives them an inside presence, averaging 14.3ppg and 6.7rpg, while they've used a combination of Brandan Wright (8.5ppg), Elton Brand (6.5ppg, 6.4rpg), Troy Murphy (4.6ppg, 3.5rpg) and Jae Crowder (6.4ppg) to take the place of Nowitzki. Dallas is playing with enough energy and strong guard play to keep the Celts off-balance. They should at least cover the number if not win the game outright.
2012 NBA FREE PICK: DALLAS MAVERICKS +6