Warriors vs. Thunder Free Pick

warriors thunder nba free pick predictions odds trends point spreads

OKLAHOMA CITY, OK (ATS Consultants) – The Warriors had won four straight before beginning a stretch of four road games in five days and are without center Andrew Bogut. Will the Thunder rout the Warriors tonight at 8:00PM ET?

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ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Thunder as 10-point favorites versus the Warriors while the over/under total is currently sitting at 211.5 points. Golden State enters tonight's game with a 30-18 overall record while Oklahoma City is 36-12.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Thunder opened as 10-point favorites and the spread has either stayed at that number or has been bet up to 10.5 at some online sports books. As for the total, it opened at 210.5 but has been on the rise since then. It's either 211.5 or 213 depending on the sports book.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 56% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Thunder. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.

NBA FREE PICK: Take Oklahoma State. According to latest NBA trends, the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 4-1 ATS last 5 in series, favorite is 4-1 ATS last 5 in series, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. Western Conference and 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Golden State Warriors just got destroyed in Houston last night, giving up 140 points and 23 three-pointers. That's with center Andrew Bogut, who can't play back-to-back game sine coming off ankle surgery. He won't play tonight which puts a bigger damper on a mediocre defensive team. This is also a revenge game for Oklahoma City, who suffered a 104-99 loss at Golden State on Jan. 23. OKchas scored at least 105 points in four of its five games since.  Kevin Durant had 33 points in that meeting but he and Russell Westbrook committed key turnovers in the final minute to sink Oklahoma City. On the road, the Thunder have had their issues lately, but at home, Oklahoma City averages 108 points compared to 103.8 on the road. Westbrook is shooting 52.7 percent over the last three games and has cut down his turnovers in the last two to take some of the burden off Durant, who is suffering through bruised ribs. On Nov. 18, Durant had his first triple-double as the Thunder beat Golden State, 119-109, giving 9.5. Expect a bigger beating on Wednesday night.

2013 NBA FREE PICK: OKLAHOMA STATE THUNDER -10

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