MLB Braves vs. Marlins Picks & Predictions for Monday, September 17 Print
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Monday, 17 September 2012 14:00
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Braves vs. Marlins Free Pick

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MIAMI, FL (ATS Consultants) –This is the first game of a three-game series. Tim Hudson takes the mound for the Braves, while Wade LeBlanc is on the hill for the Marlins. The opening pitch starts at 7:10pmET from Marlins Ballpark.

ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Braves as a -130 favorite over the Marlins. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Braves come in with a 84-63 record and are 63-79 Under, while Miami is 65-82 overall and 69-67 Over Under.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Braves opened as a -135 favorite and moved to -130 in most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there in most books.

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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 87% of public bettors favor the Braves. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take the Braves. According to the latest MLB trends, Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite,  20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League East, 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game,  8-3 in their last 11 overall,  10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record,  20-9 in their last 29 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game,  10-1 in Hudson's last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game,  are 9-2 in Hudson's last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game,  9-3 in Hudson's last 12 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 25-10 in Hudson's last 35 starts as a favorite and are 20-8 in Hudson's last 28 starts. Marlins are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. a team with a winning record, 16-37 in their last 53 games as a home underdog, 18-42 in their last 60 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150, 2-8 in their last 10 vs. National League East and are 1-4 in LeBlanc's last 5 starts as an underdog. The Braves are coming off a 3-0 sweep over the Nationals. They moved within 5.5 games of the NL East lead so with a win tonight and Washington off, Atlanta would be 5 games back with 15 games left. They take on a decent lefty in LeBlanc, but he hasn't pitched as well as of late, posting a 4.00 ERA in his last 3 starts with the Marlins going 0-2. Atlanta will keep up the momentum after another strong peformance from Hudson.

MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: ATLANTA BRAVES –130

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