|MLB Betting Trends: Under hot when Red Sox' Lester faces Royals|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Sunday, 20 July 2014 09:45|
BOSTON, MA (The Spread) - The Red Sox will go for the sweep today versus the Royals but the play today for bettors might not be Boston, but the under.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are -136 money line favorites over the Royals, who are +126 money line road underdogs. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 7.5 runs for today's 1:35PM ET start time from Fenway Park.
Yordano Ventura takes the mound for the Royals today sporting a 7-7 record with a 3.22 ERA, while the Red Sox will counter with Jon Lester, who is 9-7 with a 2.65 ERA. Ventura will make his first appearance against Boston but is 4-1 with a 2.83 ERA in seven road starts, while Lester is 6-3 with a 1.60 ERA versus Kansas City.
The under is 5-0-1 in Lester's last six home starts against the Royals and 8-0-2 in his last 10 starts over versus the Royals. The under is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 5-2 in the Royals last seven games as an underdog.
There are even more trends that support the end in this matchup, including the fact that its 5-0 in Lester's last five home starts and 5-1 in his last six starts overall. The under is also 25-10 in the Red Sox' last 35 home games and 20-9 in their last 29 games as a home favorite.