1/31/2008 Arizona State at UCLA Free Pick by Jeff Alexander Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Thursday, 31 January 2008 10:26

Arizona State travels to California to take on the UCLA Bruins Thursday and Jeff Alexander says to put 1 unit on the Bruins to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting line at UCLA –13.5.

Alexander writes:  While the Sun Devils have been good at home this season, they have struggled on the road. To make matters worse, they limp into this one in a major letdown spot. After back-to-back Pac-10 losses to Stanford and Washington, the Sun Devils took Washington State down to the wire before losing by 1-point. They won't be able to get back up from that blow against the best team in the Pac tonight. The Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-10 and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Lay the points tonight.

Public betting information shows that of the 2,511 wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 51% of bettors like UCLA to cover the 13.5-point spread. AccuScore agrees and has UCLA as a 87% favorite.

Arizona State’s top three scorers are James Harden (21.1 points per game, 3.1 assists, 5.3 rebounds), Jeff Pendergraph (12.1 points per game, 0.8 assists and 8.0 rebounds) and Ty Abbott (10.5 points per game, 2.1 assists and 3.4 rebounds). UCLA’s top three scorers are Kevin Love (19.1 points per game, 1.7 assists and 11.8 rebounds), Darren Collison (12.9 points per game, 4.6 assists and 2.9 rebounds) and Josh Shipp (12.1 points per game, 2.6 assists, 2.9 rebounds).          Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:

-UCLA is 51-35 ATS in all games over the last three seasons

-UCLA is 51-35 ATS in all lined games over the last three seasons

-UCLA is 9-21 ATS in home games versus good defensive tams – allowing 64 points/game since 1997.

-Arizona State is 9-1 ATS versus good defensive teams – allowing 64 points/game after 15+ games over the last three seasons.

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