Bowl Pick: Armed Forces

The grass field of Amon Carter Stadium will play host to the 2008 Armed Forces Bowl, which pits the 8-4 Air Force Falcons against the 7-5 Houston Cougars.

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out an Armed Forces Bowl Free Pick, which takes place Wednesday December 31 at 12:00PM ET.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made Houston –3.5 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set 64.5 total points.

Top Public Betting Trend: Air Force is 5-2 straight up in its last seven games while Houston is just 2-4 against the spread in its last six contests. The total has also gone over in seven of the Falcons’ last 10 games, and in four of the Cougars’ last six contests.

Key Stat: The Falcons are a dominant running team, averaging 268.9 rushing yards a game, while the Cougars are allowing a whopping 169.5 yards per game on the ground.

Game Outlook: Houston is probably better than its 7-5 record indicates, but this game is going to come down to the ground game. Air Force excels at moving the ball on the ground, averaging a sensation 268.9 rushing yards per game. The Cougars, meanwhile, have had issues all year stopping the run, allowing 169.5 yards per game, which is a huge advantage for the Falcons. Air Force only averages 79.9 passing yards a game, but that doesn’t matter because they’re going to rely on their running game. They’ll pound the ball at Houston’s front seven and try to wear the Cougars down in the second half. We love the teams with sound running games in bowl contests, and love the Falcons in this matchup. Take the 3.5 points, but Air Force wins this one outright. For the rest of our College Football Bowl Free Pick, see below.

Check out the 2008 Armed Forces Bowl Preview

Our Free College Football Bowl Pick for the Armed Forces Bowl matchup between the Air Force Falcons and Houston Cougars game is

AIR FORCE FALCONS +3.5

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Air Force 30

Houston 27

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (64.5 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/31/08 7:00AM ET

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