NFL Free Pick: MIA/NYJ

The playoffs are on the line for both teams in East Rutherford, New Jersey Sunday, as the New York Jets host their AFC East rivals, the Miami Dolphins.

Who will we give the nod to in our free pick for this game?

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out a Free NFL Pick for Week 17.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Jets -3 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 42.5 total points.

Key Trend: The Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games while the Dolphins are 5-1 against the number in their last six games on the road. The total has also gone under in seven of Miami’s last nine games.

Key Stat: The Dolphins are averaging 228.9 passing yards per game, while the Jets are allowing 237.3 passing YPG.

Game Outlook: The Jets have lacked fire ever since they defeated the previously unbeaten Tennessee Titans over a month ago. Their loss last week in Seattle was a telltale sign that this team is heading in the wrong direction and now Brett Favre is dealing with arm issues. Conversely, the Dolphins enter this battle on a four game winning streak and with a win, they can clinch first place in the AFC East and secure a playoff spot. That’s a pretty lofty accomplishment considering Miami was just 1-15 a year ago. Granted, the Dolphins have not had a ton of success on the road when playing the Jets, but quarterback Chad Pennington has revenge in mind and would love to stick it to the team that sent him packing the moment they traded for Favre. The Dolphin defense will stifle the Jets, which will lead to at least one turnover from Favre. Take the 3 points, but the Dolphins win this game outright. For the rest of our NFL Free Pick, see below.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 17 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets is

MIAMI DOLPHINS +3

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Miami Dolphins 20

New York Jets 16

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (42.5 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/28/08 1:00PM ET

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