NFL Free Pick: JAC/BAL

The Baltimore Ravens need just one more victory to secure a playoff seed. They’ll go for that win this Sunday when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars in Baltimore.

Who will we give the nod to in our free pick for this game?

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out a Free NFL Pick for Week 17.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Ravens -13 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 37.5 total points.

Key Trend: The Jaguars are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games while the Ravens are 4-1 against the number in their last five contests. Baltimore is also 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games at home, while the total has gone over in eight of Jacksonville’s last nine games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Key Stat: Baltimore is limiting opponents to just 15.8 points per game this year, while scoring an average of 23.9 points per game. The Ravens are also averaging 150.3 rushing yards per game, while the Jaguars are allowing 105.5 rushing yards per game.

Game Outlook: The Ravens need just one victory to claim the sixth and final playoff spot in the AFC and they’re going to get that victory this Sunday at home. The season can’t end quick enough for the Jaguars, who have struggled with injuries all season long. The Ravens will keep the ball on the ground and allow their running game to dominant a Jacksonville defense that has injuries in the front seven. Offensively, Jacksonville won’t be able to move the ball enough to keep pace and Baltimore should cover the big spread. We actually like the over in this game even more than we do the Ravens, because Baltimore should find the end zone plenty of times. For the rest of our NFL Free Pick, see below.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 17 matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Baltimore Ravens is

BALTIMORE RAVENS -13

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Baltimore Ravens 27

Jacksonville Jaguars 13

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (37.5 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/28/08 12:30AM ET

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