NFL Free Pick: DET/GB

The Detroit Lions haven’t won in Green Bay since 1991. And considering they’re starring an 0-16 season in the face, there isn’t a real good chance the Lions will again in Green Bay this Sunday when they take on the Packers.

But will the Lions cover the spread? Let’s hand out a free pick.

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out a Free NFL Pick for Week 17.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Packers –10.5 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 43 total points.

Key Trend: The Packers are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games when playing Detroit. The Lions are also 3-12-2 against the number in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Green Bay. The Total has gone over in nine of Green Bay’s last 12 games at home, and in four of Detroit’s last five games when playing Green Bay.

Key Stat: Green Bay has averaged 25.9 points per game, 236 passing yards per game and 106.5 rushing yards per game. Conversely, the Lions are allowing 32.4 points per game and 229.1 passing yards per contest.

Game Outlook: Neither of these teams have anything to play for in terms of the postseason, but the Lions don’t want to be the first team in NFL history to go 0-16 and the Packers don’t want to be the only team that lost to Detroit in 2008. The Lions haven’t had success in Green Bay in almost 20 years and we doubt they’ll have much success this Sunday. While the Packers don’t have anything to brag about themselves, they’re better than Detroit and won’t lose at home to the Lions. But will they cover? The hook scares us, but we think the Packers could essentially roll. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers shouldn’t have any trouble moving the ball through the air and Ryan Grant should have enough running lanes to keep the offense balanced. Green Bay’s defense has been shredded on the ground this year, but the Lions don’t have enough of a running game to be a threat. Expect Green Bay to roll, although the Lions should score enough points to cover the over total. For the rest of our NFL Free Pick, see below.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 17 matchup between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers game is

GREEN BAY PACKERS –10.5

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Green Bay Packers 37

Detroit Lions 20

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (43 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/28/08 7:30AM ET

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