Bowl Pick: Poinsettia

The 2008 Poinsettia Bowl offers a fantastic matchup as the undefeated Boise State Broncos take on the 10-2 TCU Horned Frogs.

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out a College Football Bowl Free Pick.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made TCU -3 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set 46 total points.

Top Public Betting Trend: TCU is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games and 13-2 straight up in their last 15. The total has also gone over in four of Boise State’s last six games.

Key Stat: TCU has dominated opponents defensively this season, allowing just 166.4 passing yards a game and 48.7 rushing yards a game. They’ve also limited opponents to 10.9 points per game.

Game Outlook: This game will come down to defense and TCU has one of the fastest and one of the most underrated defenses in the nation. Boise State simply hasn’t faced a defense this fast all season, outside of maybe Oregon when they beat the Ducks in Eugene earlier this season. The Horned Frogs have also gashed opponents on the ground this season, averaging 215.7 rushing yards per game, while the Broncos are allowing 104.9 YPG on the ground. As long as TCU can contain Boise’s stout passing game, they should come away with an impressive win and more importantly, a cover. Don’t be fooled by Boise State’s undefeated record – they haven’t played but one quality opponent all season. Most public bettors will jump on the fact that the unbeaten team in this matchup is an underdog, but don’t be fooled – TCU wins this game by more than a field goal because of their stifling defense.

Check out the 2008 Poinsettia Preview

Our Free College Football Bowl Pick for the Poinsettia Bowl matchup between the Boise State Broncos and TCU Horned Frogs game is

TCU HORNED FRONGS –3

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

TCU 27

Boise State 21

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (46 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/23/08 11:00AM ET

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