NFL Free Pick: MIA/KC

The Miami Dolphins are fighting for their playoff lives and travel to Missouri this weekend to take on the struggling Kansas City Chiefs.

Our team of writers and handicappers break down the matchup and hand out a Free NFL Pick for Week 16.

Bet NFL Future Odds

Oddsmakers from online sports book have made the Dolphins -4 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 38 total points.

Key Trend: Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games while the Dolphins are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six contests. The total has also gone over in five of Kansas City’s last six games at home.

Key Stat: Both teams have been effective running the ball this year, averaging an identical 114.2 yards per game on the ground. Both teams have averaged roughly the same amount of points as well, as the Dolphins have scored 20.2 PPG and the Chiefs 18.1 PPG.

Game Outlook: There’s no doubt that the Dolphins are the better team and they should win this game. But the fact of the matter is that they haven’t covered much this year, going just 6 of 14 against the number. We like the home team getting points in this matchup, even if it’s the lowly Chiefs. Kansas City is coming off an impressive cover last week at home and should have won outright if it weren’t for a massive fourth quarter collapse against the Chargers. The Dolphins, meanwhile, couldn’t cover a 6.5-point spread last week at home against the 49ers and have struggled to score many points. We like the Dolphins to sneak away with a win by a field goal, but we’ll gladly take the Chiefs and the four points. Buck the over trend in this game – this one will fall short of the total. For the rest of our NFL Free Pick, see below.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 16 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs game is

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +4 Projected Final Score

Miami Dolphins 16

Kansas City Chiefs 13

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (38 Sports SET BY ODDSMAKERS

Bet NFL Future Odds 

Posted: 12/21/08 8:00AM ET


Sports Betting Headlines