NFL Free Pick: TB/ATL

A pivotal game in the NFC South Division takes place this week in Atlanta when the Falcons square off against their rivals, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams are very much in the playoff hunt.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Falcons -3 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 44.5 total points.

Key Trend: The Falcons are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games at home, while the Buccaneers are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven contests.

Key Stat: Atlanta is averaging 146.8 yards per game on the ground this year, while Tampa is allowing opponents to gain over 110 rushing yards a game.

Game Outlook: The Buccs have also matched up very well against the Falcons, but the key number in this game is 0-10. NFC South teams are 0-10 on the road this year when playing their NFC South rivals. In fact, Tampa was the latest victim of this trend when they lost in Carolina on Monday night. The Falcons are coming off a loss as well, but home field advantage has suited them very well this year as they’ve covered all but one time at the Georgia Dome this season. The Falcons have also not lost back-to-back games all season and more importantly, have not failed to cover the spread in back to back games this year. This is going to be an absolute battle, but Atlanta should come out on top.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 15 matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons game is

ATLANTA FALCONS -3

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Atlanta Falcons 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (44.5 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/14/08 7:00AM ET

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