NFL Free Pick: ATL/NO

The surprising Atlanta Falcons continue their quest for a playoff berth in Week 14 when they travel to New Orleans to take on their NFC South rivals the Saints on Sunday.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Saints -3 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 51 total points.

Key Trend: Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games and are 4-1 straight up in its last five games. The Falcons are also 19-4-1 against the spread in their last 24 games when playing on the road against New Orleans.

Key Stat: Both teams are scoring points in bunches this year with the Falcons averaging 24.8 points a game, while the Saints are scoring 28.1 points per game. New Orleans is also allowing 25.1 points per game defensively.

Game Outlook: The Saints took a major hit this week when Deuce McAllister, Will Smith and Charles Grant were all suspended for the final four games of the season. Charles Grant was already out for the year due to injury, but losing Smith is a killer to an already depleted defensive line. Rookie quarterback Matt Ryan and stud free agent running back Michael Turner should have no problem racking up yardage both on the ground and threw the air against a weak New Orleans’ defense, although it’ll be up to the Falcons’ D to keep Drew Brees and company in check. The Falcons have more on the line and looked great at home against he Saints earlier this year. We’re calling for a straight up win for Atlanta and recommend the over.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 14 matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants game is

ATLANTA FALCONS +3

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Falcons 33

Saints 30

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (51 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/7/08 7:15AM ET

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