NFL Free Pick: HOU/GB

The Green Bay Packers are still fighting not only for a playoff spot, but the NFC North crown. They’ll need a win over the suddenly hot Houston Texans in Week 14 to keep their slim playoff chances alive.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Packers –6 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 47 total points.

Key Trend: Houston is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games while the Packers are just 1-4 straight up in their last five. The over has also covered in seven of Houston’s last eight games on the road and in nine of Green Bay’s last 11 games at home.

Key Stat: The Texans are averaging 252.4 passing yards and 115.1 rushing yards per game, while the Packers are allowing a whopping 141.2 yards per game on the ground.

Game Outlook: The Packers aren’t good enough to be favored by six over any team (outside of maybe the Lions and Rams) right now, especially not one that has won two straight. The Texans get Matt Schaub back from injury, which should be a plus, but the main weapon in this game will be rookie running back Steve Slaton. Slaton should shred a weak Green Bay run defense and as long as the Houston D can keep the big plays to a minimum, they might even come away with a straight up victory. But since Lambeau is still an extremely tough place to play and the Texans are coming off a short week, we’ll just predict a Houston cover.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 14 matchup between the Houston Texans and Green Bay Packers game is

HOUSTON TEXANS +6

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Green Bay Packers 33

Houston Texans 30

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (47 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/7/08 8:15AM ET

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