NFL Free Pick: KC/DEN

AFC West division rivals square off at Invesco Field this Sunday when the Denver Broncos host the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 14.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Broncos -9 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 49 total points.

Key Trend: The Broncos are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games when playing at home against Kansas City and 5-0 straight up in their last five games when playing at home against the Chiefs.

Key Stat: The Broncos dominant most statistical categories, including points for (24.3 to 18.0), points against (26.6 to 28.3), passing yards a game (279.9 to 189.7) and rushing yards allowed (144.3 to 163.7).

Game Outlook: This is a dangerous matchup because it’s a division rivalry, but the Broncos have much to play for while the Chiefs are just trying to finish the season. This one might be close throughout the game, but the Broncos have the advantage through the air and if they can get their running game going, they should eventually walk away with a cover. Can the Denver front seven stop Larry Johnson? That will be the key, although with the playoffs on the line, again, the Broncos should get a slim cover.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 14 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos game is

DENVER BRONCOS -9

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Broncos 27

Chiefs 17

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (49 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/7/08 9:15AM ET

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