NFL Free Pick: MIA/BUF

AFC East Division rivals square off in Toronto, Canada this week when the Miami Dolphins take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins are still fighting for a playoff spot in the AFC.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Bills -1 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 42 total points.

Key Trend: Miami is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games on the road, while the Bills are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games. The total has also gone under in four of Miami’s last five games when playing Buffalo.

Key Stat: The Dolphins have averaged 239.0 passing yards a game this year and 115.5 rushing yards a game, while Buffalo is allowing 109.8 rushing yards a game.

Game Outlook: The point spread is bit surprising considering the Bills are coming off a brutal 10-3 loss to the 49ers last week at home. But Buffalo has had some success over the years against Miami, including a 1-5 mark against the Dolphins at home in the last six meetings. But these teams aren’t playing Buffalo – they’re playing Canada and thus the home field advantage for the Bills takes a hit. The Bills are as bad as they played last week against San Francisco. Their playoff hopes are essentially done and the Dolphins still have plenty to play for. Take the gift point, but the Dolphins cover easily.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 14 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills game is

MIAMI DOLPHINS +1

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Miami Dolphins 20

Buffalo Bills 14

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (42 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/7/08 9:30AM ET

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