NFL Free Pick: IND/CLEV

The Indianapolis Colts are back in the AFC postseason hunt after winning four straight games. They’ll take on a struggling Browns team in what should be a cold day in Cleveland on Sunday.

Bet the Colts at Browns

Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Colts -5 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 45 total points.

Key Trend: The Colts are just 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games, while the Browns are 9-4 in their last 13 games at home. The total has also gone under in six of Cleveland’s last nine games at home.

Key Stat: The key stat in this game is the Browns’ running game vs. the Colts run defense. Cleveland is averaging 106.2 yards per game on the ground while the Colts are surrendering 136.5 rushing yards a game.

Game Outlook: The Colts are going to win, but by how much? Indy might be on a four game winning streak, but it also hasn’t covered the spread in three of their last five games. Both teams will likely keep the ball on the ground in this game, because their defense is very good against the run. We expect Peyton Manning’s aerial assault to be neutralized by playing outdoors and in cold weather, and expect Tony Dungy to grind out a win on the ground. The Browns don’t have much offense, especially with Derek Anderson back at quarterback, but they can run the ball. We expect a tight, low scoring game, but an Indy win.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 13 matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Cleveland Browns game is

CLEVELAND BROWNS +5

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Indianapolis Colts 20

Cleveland Browns 17

We also predict that this game will GO UNDER THE TOTAL (45 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

Bet the Colts at Browns

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Posted: 11/30/08 10:00AM ET

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