Free Pick: GB-NO
The Monday Night Football matchup is played in Louisiana this week as the New Orleans Saints host the Green Bay Packers in a battle of teams still fighting for playoff spots in the NFC.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Saints a –2.5 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 51.5 total points.
The Packers are 4-0-1 against the spread in its last five games and 11-3-1 against the spread in its last 15 games on the road. The Pack also favor well when playing in New Orleans, as they’re 5-2 against the spread in the Big Easy.
The over also looks like a solid play consider the total has gone over in six of Green Bay’s last seven games when playing in New Orleans. The total has also gone over in 11 of the Saints’ last 15 games and over in eight of New Orleans’s last 10 games at home.
While the Saints have averaged more passing yards per game than the Packers (319.7 to 222.0), Green Bay leads in all other major categories, including points for (27.4 to 26.6) and points against (20.9 to 24.9). The Packers have gotten their running game rolling again and will need Ryan Grant to step up to make sure Green Bay’s offense stays balanced.
The total is high at 51.5, but we expect a shootout considering both teams love to throw the ball to win, and the weather won’t be a factor playing in a dome. We’re not getting many points, but we like the Packers – who are on an upswing after beating the Bears 37-3 last Sunda – over the inconsistent Saints.
Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 12 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints is
GREEN BAY PACKERS –2.5
TheSpread.com Projected Final Score
Green Bay Packers 31
New Orleans Saints 30
We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (51.5 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS
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Posted: 11/24/08 12:00PM ET