Paraguay-Japan Pick

The Round of 16 is set to come to an end on Tuesday with the first of two games in the 2010 World Cup featuring Paraguay against Japan.

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Paraguay was the winner of Group F while Japan was the runner-up in Group E.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made USA the favorites to win with a betting line of +130 while Ghana comes in at +200. A regulation draw has a money line of +220.

Paraguay was the surprise winner of its group thanks to a 2-0 win over Slovakia and the collapse of the defending Cup champions, Italy. Defense has been a big factor for Paraguay, as it has allowed just 1 goal in three games. While the defense has been stout, the offense could use a little more fire power, which it may need against Japan.

The Japanese team seems to have gotten better with each game. Despite a 1-0 loss to Holland, the team played tough against the strong Dutch team. Japan followed the loss with an impressive 3-1 win over Denmark which sealed its spot in the tournament. Japan actually finished with more Cup points than Paraguay in group play.

This is a match where we believe an upset could take place. Japan opened the World Cup as a long shot, but it made it through a tougher group than Paraguay did. With Paraguay struggling to score and Japan seemingly at its best right now, we like the money line Japan is getting in a low-scoring contest.

Our World Cup Free Pick for this matchup is: JAPAN +260 and UNDER 2.5

World Cup Match Results
PARAGUAY

Draw with Italy, 1-1 on June 14

Win over Slovakia, 2-0 on June 20

Draw with New Zealand, 0-0 on June 24

JAPAN

Win over Cameroon, 1-0 on June 14

Loss to Holland, 1-0 on June 19

Win over Denmark, 3-1 on June 24

World Cup Player Stats
PARAGUAY

Antolin Alcaraz – 1 goal

Cristian Riveros – 1 goal

Enrique Vera – 1 goal

JAPAN

Keisuke Honda – 2 goals

Yasuhito Endo – 1 goal

Shinji Okazaki – 1 goal
World Cup Odds

Paraguay +105 Over 2.5

Japan +260 Under 2.5

Draw +215

*If game is tied after regulation Draw pays out. Team payouts must be on regulation victory
Bet the 2010 World Cup
Posted: 6/29/10 8:00AM ET

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