Hence vs. Term of Art Prediction
Will Hence beat out Term of Art in the 2017 Preakness Stakes this evening at 6:45PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Hence is heavily favored in this prop matchup, receiving -190 odds to beat Term of Art, who is +155. Hence merely has to beat out Term of Art, not win the race, to win this prop bet.
Hence is coming off a disappointing showing in the Kentucky Derby, where he finished 11th at Churchill Downs. In his prior race, he won the Grade 3 Sunland Derby, finishing ahead of Conquest Mo Money and Hedge Fund. In seven career starts, Hence has two wins, one second and one third. He was never really involved in the Kentucky Derby, although he did make up some ground late. A natural closer, he should show marked improvement coming off his Churchill Downs performance.
Term of Art Snapshot
Term of Art did not run in the Kentucky Derby but he enters the Preakness Stakes with loads of experience. In nine career starts, Term of Art has two wins, one second, and two thirds. He showed some promise as a 2-year-old in 2016, winning two of five starts with one second and one third, plus scored a Grade 3 win in the Cecil B. DeMille Stakes at Del Mar in late November. That said, in his four starts this year, he has finished a combined 38 1/4 lengths behind the winner. A deep closer, it’s likely to take a complete meltdown by the top contenders for Term of Art to finish in the money.
Preakness Stakes Prediction
I'm not wild about laying -190 on Hence, who disappointed at the Kentucky Derby, but Term of Art is one of the least talented horses in this year's field. Both horses are closers and I don't expect either contender to have a chance to win, but Hence is still the better bet in this prop. He has faced stiffer competition.
2017 Preakness Stakes Predictions: Hence over Term of Art