Sporting Chance vs. Diamond King Pick

2018 Preakness Stakes 5/19/18 Sporting Chance vs. Diamond King Prediction

Two of the biggest long shots in Saturday night's 2018 Preakness Stakes are Sporting Chance and Diamond King. Which non-contender will finish higher at Pimlico Race Course? Here is our prediction for this matchup prop bet.

Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers, Sporting Chance has 20/27 odds to finish ahead of Diamond King, who has 20/21 odds to win this matchup prop bet. As previously mentioned, these two are listed among the long-shots to win tonight's race. Sporting Chance is 25/1 while Diamond King is 30/1, tied with Tenfold as the longest odds in this year's field.

Sporting Chance Profile

Sporting Chance did not run in the Kentucky Derby but finished fourth in the Grade 3 Pat Day Mile on May 5 so unlike Quip, he doesn't necessarily enter this race fresh. After winning two of three starts as a juvenile, including the Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga, Sporting Chance has not taken the next step in his four starts at age three, finishing third, fifth, fourth (disqualified from third), and then fourth again in graded stakes.

Diamond King Profile

An intriguing long-shot, Diamond King has four wins and one third-place showing in six career starts. He enters the Preakness off a win in the Federico Tesio Stakes, which used to be held at Pimlico but has been held at Laurel Park since 2016. Diamond King likes to press the pace and appears best suited for distance races but unfortunately maxes out at seven furlongs or a mile (thus why he's an underdog).

Preakness Stakes Matchup Prediction

I'm going to take a small risk on Diamond King. As previously noted, he maxes out at about seven furlongs or a mile so he's not going to challenge for the Preakness Stakes lead. But that's not what we're talking about here. We're attempting to project whether or not he'll finish ahead of Sporting Chance. Given how Sporting Chance has been competitive in his career but always manages to find trouble at some point or another during a given race, I'll take a small flier on Diamond King.

 

Preakness Prediction: Diamond King 20/21 over Sporting Chance

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