2012 Preakness Stakes Preview

2012 preakness stakes preview odds horse racing profiles

BALTIMORE, MD (The Spread) - The 137th Preakness Stakes goes May 19 from Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore and here is a look at the latest contenders for the Preakness.

The expected favorite is Bodemeister, trained by Bob Baffert, who finished second in the Kentucky Derby, after winning much of the race. I’ll Have Another, will have a chance at the Triple Crown, if he can win the shorter distance of the Preakness. Listed below is a look at each horse, their dosage, profile and analysis.

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Bodemeister, by Empire Maker out of Untouched Talent, by Storm Cat, bred in Virginia

Odds: 8-5

Owner: Zayat Stables

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Jockey:  Mike Smith

DP/DI/CD=9-9-1-0-2         3.00   0.72

Comments: He’ll be the favorite on Saturday and it’s well-deserved. He set blazing fractions in the Kentucky Derby and almost went wire-to-wire but did tire down the stretch. He won’t have to worry about another speedball like he did with Trinniberg at Churchill Downs. He should be able to get the lead and if Mike Smith can somehow contain his speed, he might just dominate the field. Baffert has won the Preakness five times with Silver Charm, Real Quiet, Point Given, War Emblem and Lookin at Lucky.

I’ll Have Another, by Flower Alley out of Arch’s gal, by Arch, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 5-2

Owner: Paul Reddam

Trainer:  Doug O’Neill

Jockey: Mario Gutierez

DP/DI/CD=2-4-7-1-0-2   2.11   0.50

Comments:The Derby winner comes to Pimlico with the usual champions confidence, after running down Bodemeister in the stretch in the Derby to score 15-1. He’s won three straight Graded races and only has one blip on his resume’, a sixth in last year’s Hopeful at Saratoga. He won’t be the favorite on Saturday, but it certainly wouldn’t surprise anyone if we’re looking at a potential Triple Crown contender in three weeks at Belmont Park.

Went The Day Well, by Proud Citizen out of Tiz Maie’s Day, by Tiznow, bred in New York

Odds: 6-1

Owners: Team Valor International Year Starts 1st 2nd 3rd Won

Trainer: Graham Motion

Jockey:  John Velazquez

DP/DI/CD=4-1-11-0-0   1.91   0.46

Comments: Graham Motion brings the son of Proud Citizen to the Preakness after a strong fourth place finish in the Kentucky Derby. More impressive was his finish after you consider the trip he had to endure, as he was in traffic, got bumped, and had to go seven wide before he finally was able to get going. Team Valor, Motion, and jockey John Velazquez might still be stinging from last year when Animal Kingdom just missed winning the Preakness after his Derby triumph. Look for this one to continue to improve and be a good price on Saturday.

Creative Cause, by Giant’s Causeway out of Dream of Summer, by Siberian Summer, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 6-1

Owners: Heinz Steinmann

Trainer: Mike Harrington

Jockey: Joel Rosario

DP/DI/CD=3-2-23-0-0      1.43   0.29

Comments: Mike Harrington comes to Baltimore for the first time with this hard knocking son of Giant’s Causeway. He’s been as consistent as anyone in the field, having finished in the money in 8 of 9 career starts. His only “off the board” performance was a very good fifth in the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago. He’s always there, and is working well up to this race. Don’t discount.

Daddy Nose Best, by Scatt Daddy out of Follow Your Bliss, by Thunder Gulch, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 12-1

Owner: Cathy & Bob Zollars

Trainer: Steve Asmussen

Jockey:  Julien Leparoux

DP/DI/CD=5-1-5-1-0      2.43   0.83

Comments: Daddy Nose Best was one of the real “wise guy” horses at the Kentucky Derby, but pretty much was a non-factor throughout the race. He should be fresh for Saturday and is working well this week. He gets jockey Julien Leparoux back after having Garret Gomez in Kentucky. Leparoux was his regular ride and was aboard for wins in the Sunland Derby and the El Camino Real earlier this season. We expect a much better performance this weekend at Pimlico.

Teeth of the Dog, by Bluegrass Cat out of Deputy Reality, by Deputy Minister, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 15-1

Owner: JW Singer Year Starts 1st 2nd 3rd Won

Trainer: Michael Matz

Jockey:  Joe Bravo

DP/DI/CD=5-3-8-0-0     3.00    0.81

Comments: The well-bred son of Bluegrass Cat out of a Deputy Minister mare ran a pretty good third in the Wood Memorial, rallying to third behind Gemologist & Alpha and definitely seems to be on the improve. Trainer Matz is slowly getting over the disappointment of Union Rags’ miserable Derby, and that one will point to the Belmont. We don’t expect Teeth of the Dog to win the Preakness, but he’ll be one to watch later in the year.

Zetterholm, by Silver Train out of Holy Wish, by Lord at War bred in New York

Odds: 20-1

Owner: Winter Park Partners

Trainer: Richard Dutrow

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

DP/DI/CD=3-2-9-0-0   2.11   0.57

Comments: This colt looks like a sprinter, having never gone past a mile, and being out of Silver Train, who was a champion sprinter in his day. He’s another who runs really well from off the pace, assuming he doesn’t get too tired going longer than he’s ever gone. He should have a nice future, bur probably sprinting.

Optimizer, by English Channel out of Indy Pick, by AP Indy, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 30-1

Owner: Bluegrass Hall LLC

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas

Jockey: Jon Court

DP/DI/CD=10-9-17-0-0

Comments: D. Wayne Lukas returns to Baltimore, where he has won five Preakness Stakes in his brilliant career. A lot would have to fall apart up front for Lukas to get his sixth win, however, Optimizer hasn’t shown much against this level of competition, running ninth in the Arkansas Derby, and 11th in the Kentucky Derby. He did close for a strong second in the Rebel back in March, but that wasn’t a very strong field as none of those horses went on to the Derby.

Tiger Walk, by Tale of the Cat out of Majestic Trail, by Kris S. Bred, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 30-1

Owner: Sagamore Farm

Trainer: Ignacio Correas

Jockey: Kent Desormeaux

DP/DI/CD=6-4-15-1-0    2.06  0.58

Comments: Local ownership (Sagamore Farms) brings the best of the “new shooters” to the Preakness in Tiger Walk. This Tale of the Cat colt has faced some of the stronger 3-year olds and run pretty respectable, finishing fourth in the Wood and third in the Withers to the likes of Gemologist, Alpha and Hansen. Preakness-winning jockey Desormeaux (Real Quiet, Big Brown) gets the mount at the track that made him famous.

Cozzetti, by Cozzene out of Lemon Drop Cello, by Lemon Drop Kid, bred in Kentucky

Odds: 30-1

Owner: Albaugh Family Stables

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey:  Jose Lezcano

DP/DI/CD=4-6-14-4-0      1.55   0.36

Comments: Dale Romans brings this son of Cozzene to the Preakness after a third-place finish to Bodemeister in the Arkansas Derby. Cozzetti looks to have changed his running style in the last few races, as he’s coming from off the pace and finding some success with that style. Could be a possibility for the bottom of some exotics this weekend

Pretension, by Bluegrass Cat out of Main Streetin, by Street Cry, bred in New York

Odds: 30-1

Owner: Kidwells Petite Stable

Trainer: Christopher Grove

Jockey: Javier Santiago

DP/DI/CD=5-3-8-0-0      3.00   0.81

Comments: Don’t really understand this placement to be honest. Pretension was destroyed in the Illinois Derby and the Gotham, in his only races vs. this type of competition. One positive is that he does own a win over this Pimlico racetrack, winning a small stakes race on Derby day. Chris Grove is a successful trainer locally and this this horse deserves a shot. Good luck!

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