Tuesday's Betting Value Plays
(The Spread) – Based on the recent trends between the Kings and Coyotes, the over could be an attractive play in tonight’s Western Conference Finals.
The over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams in Phoenix and 4-0 in the Coyotes’ last four games as a home underdog. The over is also 6-0-1 in the Kings’ last seven games versus the Pacific Division and 5-2-2 in their last nine road games. Even with Jonathan Quick playing as well as he is, the over represents value based recent trends and the fact that the number is sitting at a very low 4.5.
NHL VALUE PLAY: OVER 4.5
The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams in Miami and 5-0 in the Pacers’ last five conference semifinals games. The under is also 4-1 in Indiana’s last five playoff games when the Pacers are an underdog and 5-2 in their last seven games overall. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Heat’s last four games versus the Central division and 8-2 in their last 10 games when they’re a favorite.
NBA VALUE PLAY: UNDER 185
The over is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams in Toronto, 5-0 in David Price’s last five road starts versus the Blue Jays and 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams overall. The over is also 33-16 in the Blue Jays’ last 51 home games, 4-1-1 in Henderson Alvarez’s last six starts as a home favorite and 5-2 in Price’s last seven starts overall.
MLB VALUE PLAY: OVER 7.5
The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Minnesota and 7-0 in the last seven meetings between these two teams overall. The over is 12-1 in the Twins’ last 13 American League Central, 4-1 in Jason Marquis’ last five starts overall and 4-1 in his last five starts as an underdog. On the other side, the over is 5-0 in the Indian’s last five games versus a right-handed starter and 17-4-1 in the Tribe’s last 22 games as a road favorite.
MLB VALUE PLAY: OVER 9