Who will win the 135th running of the Preakness Stakes? Our oddsmakers hand out their predictions for the top three money winners.
Winner: Lookin at Lucky (3/1)
In the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago, Lookin at Lucky spotted the field 22 lengths, battled traffic at the start and still found a way to finish sixth. The last horse to pull off a similar feat was Curlin, who lost to Street Sense in the 133rd running of the Kentucky Derby, but won the 2007 Preakness. Granted, Curlin finished third and Lookin at Lucky finished sixth, but if history repeats itself today, then Lucky emerges victorious today. There’s a reason Super Saver, ridden by elite jockey Calvin Borel, is the favorite. But Lookin at Lucky was rather unlucky in the Derby, drawing the rail position for the race. But he shouldn’t battle the same traffic today out of the No. 7 post as he did two weeks ago and we love him to beat the field today.
Place: Super Saver (2/1)
Those that followed Super Saver before the Kentucky Derby had a feeling that the colt was due for a breakthrough performance. He had been improving leading up to his big victory and Churchill Downs and given that he was ridden by Borel, it wasn’t a surprise that things came together for him on May 1. That said, we still feel as though Lookin at Lucky is the best horse in this field. That’s not a knock on Super Saver, who is coming off a sharp prep and who ran a 104 Beyer at the Derby, but we believe Lucky will be too strong today. Borel is elite, however, and will no doubt have Super Saver near the front down the stretch, so we like the colt to finish in the money.
Show: Jackson Bend (14/1)
Jackson Bend isn’t coming off a sharp prep after finishing 12th at the Kentucky Derby, but he can stalk the pace (which is vital in a race such as the Preakness) and he has run a triple digit Beyer Speed Figure this year. He also has four stakes wins at G2 and should run much better today than he did at Churchill Downs on the first of the month.
Live Long Shot:
First Dude (20/1)
First Dude is a relative unknown given that he missed the Derby, but there’s something about this colt that leads us to believe that he’s a sleeper. He took fifth at the G1 Florida Derby on March 20, which was his first graded stakes race in his career. Then he backed up that performance with a third place finish at the G1 Blue Grass on April 10, showing marked improvement. While he’s coming off a five-week layoff and has a best Beyer of just 90, we wouldn’t be shocked if this sleeper finishes in the money this evening.
Posted: 5/15/10 4:00PM ET