Kentucky Derby Predictions
(The Spread) – This is it: We’re only about an hour away from post time for the 2011 Kentucky Derby. So which three contenders will finish in the money?
View the 2011 Kentucky Derby TV Viewing Guide
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com has made Dialed In +500 on the money line, making him the favorite to win today’s Kentucky Derby. Pants On Fire is listed at +650, while Mucho Macho Man is +750 and Twice The Appeal is +900.
Let’s get to our selections for today’s Triple Crown race.
Win: Archarcharch (+1200)
This is the one contender that I think is completely being overlooked on race day. Not only did he draw the rail on Wednesday (a position that has produced a Kentucky Derby-high 12 victories), but he’s also coming off a win over Nehro in the Arkansas Derby. He also placed third at the Rebel Stakes and won the Southwest, so he has two victories in his last three outings, and one in which he finished in the money. At +1200, this seems like an extreme value and I like Archarcharch to finish in the money at Churchill Downs on Saturday.
Place: Dialed In (+500)
Casual bettors seem to be backing off Dialed In in favor for more popular horses like Twice The Appeal, Mucho Macho Man and Pants On Fire. But at +500, he’s quite a value given his race history, his post position (No. 8, which has produced 10 Kentucky Derby victorious) and the fact that Uncle Mo has been scratched. Dialed In was +250 just two days ago and now he’s +500. Talk about a value – play him to finish in the money.
Show: Twice The Appeal (+900)
How can you go against Calvin Borel? This is his race and the fact that Twice The Appeal will start out of the No. 3 post (which is close to the rail, which is what Borel loves, which is how he usually wins) makes him even more attractive. Granted, his odds are probably a little inflated right now because causal bettors are wagering on Borel, but it’s kind of hard to list three contenders to finish in the money and not go with Calvin. Again, this is his race.
For a complete list of 2011 Kentucky Derby odds, see below. Enjoy the race action today horseracing fans!
2011 Kentucky Derby 137 Odds to Win – Who will win the Kentucky Derby?
Animal Kingdom +2400
Archarcharch +1200
Brilliant Speed +2200
Comma to the Top +3700
Decisive Moment +3500
Derby Kitten +3200
Dialed In +500
Master Of Hounds +1800
Midnight Interlude +1200
Mucho Macho Man +750
Nehro +1000
Pants On Fire +650
Santiva +3000
Shackleford +2200
Soldat +1400
Stay Thirsty +1500
Twice The Appeal +900
Twinspired +2500
Watch Me Go +2800
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