Mendelssohn vs. Audible Prediction
One of the more underrated aspects of betting the Kentucky Derby is the odds available for head-to-head matchups. Will Mendelssohn finish ahead of Audible later tonight at Churchill Downs?
According to oddsmakers, Justify is +250 to win Saturday evening at Churchill Downs. My Boy Jack is +350, followed by Audible and Mendelssohn at +450, respectively. The other contenders are Bolt d'Oro at +600 and Good Magic at +750.
Some of the mid-range long-shots including Magnum Moon and Vino Rosso at +1200, followed by Hofburg at +2000. Lone Sailor, meanwhile, is +2100.
The deep long shots include Free Drop Billy at +4000, followed by Promises Fulfilled and Flmeaway at +4250, respectively. Enticed and Noble Indy are +4500, respectively, followed by Firenze Fire at +5000 and Bravazo and Solomini at +5500, respectively. Combatant is +6000 and Instilled Regard as the longest odds at +7000.
Our Prediction: Mendelssohn vs. Audible
The odds for this matchup prop is Audible -123 over Mendelssohn and I like the favorite. Audible is a speed-centric horse but that's not to say that he can't run for distance. This is an improving colt that has shown the ability to close late.
Meanwhile, in 143 runnings of the Kentucky Derby, no European horse has ever won the event. Mendelssohn has a great shot of breaking that streak after cruising to an 18-plus-lengths victory at the UAE Derby in Dubai. Still, I like Audible to edge out Mendelssohn tonight.
2018 Kentucky Derby Prediction: Audible -123