Good Magic vs. Magnum Moon Pick

2018 Kentucky Derby Predictions 5/5/18 Good Magic vs. Magnum Moon

If you're looking for a value play in the 2018 Kentucky Derby, look no further than the matchup props for tonight's race from Churchill Downs. Specifically the matchup between Good Magic and Magnum Moon.

The Odds

According to oddsmakers, Justify is +250 to win Saturday evening at Churchill Downs. My Boy Jack is +350, followed by Audible and Mendelssohn at +450, respectively. The other contenders are Bolt d'Oro at +600 and Good Magic at +750.

Some of the mid-range long-shots including Magnum Moon and Vino Rosso at +1200, followed by Hofburg at +2000. Lone Sailor, meanwhile, is +2100.

The deep long shots include Free Drop Billy at +4000, followed by Promises Fulfilled and Flmeaway at +4250, respectively. Enticed and Noble Indy are +4500, respectively, followed by Firenze Fire at +5000 and Bravazo and Solomini at +5500, respectively. Combatant is +6000 and Instilled Regard as the longest odds at +7000.

Our Prediction: Good Magic vs. Magnum Moon

Good Magic is -151 to beat out Magnum Moon at Churchill Downs this evening but I see value in the +121 underdog. Magnum Moon is a bit quirky and there are plenty of experts that don't like how he tends to drift. That said, when you watch him run, including at the Arkansas Derby, he drifted and still won by 4 lengths. Good Magic has a dream team of sorts at the Kentucky Derby but I actually have predicted Magnum Moon to win tonight, so I love getting plus odds in this matchup.

 

2018 Kentucky Derby Prediction: Magnum Moon +121

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