Audible vs. Justify Derby Prediction

2018 Kentucky Derby Predictions 5/5/18 Audible vs. Justify

Will Justify finish ahead of Audible in the 2018 Kentucky Derby? We have matchup predictions for tonight's best two minutes in sports event and in this piece, we'll take a look at Audible versus Justify.

The Odds

According to oddsmakers, Justify is +250 to win Saturday evening at Churchill Downs. My Boy Jack is +350, followed by Audible and Mendelssohn at +450, respectively. The other contenders are Bolt d'Oro at +600 and Good Magic at +750.

Some of the mid-range long-shots including Magnum Moon and Vino Rosso at +1200, followed by Hofburg at +2000. Lone Sailor, meanwhile, is +2100.

The deep long shots include Free Drop Billy at +4000, followed by Promises Fulfilled and Flameaway at +4250, respectively. Enticed and Noble Indy are +4500, respectively, followed by Firenze Fire at +5000 and Bravazo and Solomini at +5500, respectively. Combatant is +6000 and Instilled Regard as the longest odds at +7000.

Our Prediction: Audible vs. Justify

According to oddsmakers, Justify is a -161 favorite to beat Audible, who is a +131 long shot. Even though there's not much value here, I do like Justify to finish ahead of Audible on Saturday evening. Audible is a speed-centric horse so I worry about his ability to finish late in a distance race. Not that he can't do it, it's just that speed horses haven't always fared well at the Kentucky Derby.

Meanwhile, Justify has tactical speed and stamina, making him the favorite in this year's field. He's a superstar racehorse that could be destined for big things, including breaking the "curse of Apollo" (i.e. no horse has won the Run for the Roses without racing as a 2-year-old since Apollo himself in 1882).

 

2018 Kentucky Derby Prediction: Justify -161

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