2011 Kentucky Derby Post Positions & Trends

Kentucky Derby Post Postions

2011 kentucky derby post positions betting trends archarcharch

(The Spread) – The post positions for the 2011 Kentucky Derby have been drawn and Archarcharch will start on the rail this Saturday at Churchill Downs.

View the 2011 Kentucky Derby TV Viewing Guide

Some believe that the post positions for the Kentucky Derby don’t matter and maybe if you’re just talking about one individual race, they don’t. But when you take into account all of the numbers dating back to 1900 when Lieut. Gibson won out of post position No. 3, yeah, they matter.

The rail and the No. 5 post have won the most since 1900. Each position has won 12 times, while the No. 4 post has won 11 times. The No. 8 and the No. 10 post positions have won 10 times, while the No. 2 post has won nine times. The No. 3 and No. 7 post positions have won eight times apiece. Archarcharch will start in the rail, while long shot Decisive Moment will begin in the No. 5 post this Saturday. Derby winner Dialed In will start in the No. 8 spot, while long shot Twinspired as the No. 10 position.

The No. 20 post position won all the way back in 1929 and it took Big Brown to win out of the spot again in 2008 for the No. 20 position to have two victories. While that post may seem cursed, consider that the No. 17 and No. 19 post positions have never won a Kentucky Derby, while the No. 18 spot has won only once. Along with the No. 20 spot, the No. 14 post position has won only twice.

The fact that Dialed In got the No. 8 post position will only help his odds. Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com listed Dialed In’s odds at the start of the day at +300 (making him the favorite), while Uncle Mo was +350 and Nehro was +450. Archarcharch was +900 and Mucho Macho Man was +1400. One noteworthy horse to keep an eye on is Twice the Appeal, whose jockey is Calvin Borel – the man who has won three Kentucky Derby’s in the last four years (2007, 2008, 2010).

Below are odds and post positions for every contender in the 2011 Kentucky Derby.

2011 Kentucky Derby 137 Odds to Win – Who will win the Kentucky Derby?

No. 1 Archarcharch +900

No. 2 Brilliant Speed +3000

No.3 Twice The Appeal +1800

No. 4 Stay Thirsty +2500

No. 5 Decisive Moment +5500

No. 6 Comma to the Top +2000

No. 7 Pants On Fire +3000

No. 8 Dialed In +300

No. 9 Derby Kitten +4000

No. 10 Twinspired +4500