Medal Count Kentucky Derby Odds
CHURCHILL DOWNS, KY (The Spread) - If Medal Count is going to place in Saturday's Kentucky Derby, he'll have to overcome long odds.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Medal Count is a 22/1 long shot to win the Kentucky Derby, which gives him the same odds as Chitu and Tapiture. California Chrome remains the favorite to win at 9/4, while Wicked Strong is 7/1 and Danza is 17/2.
The biggest plus if you're looking to back Medal Count is that he has a fair amount of experience in graded stakes races, which includes five starts. The problem is that he's highly inconsistent.
He's coming of a second-place finish in the Grade I Blue Grass as he finished behind fellow Derby contender Dance With Fate, and he won the Grade III Transylvania on April 4, beating out Picozza and Woodfield Springs. But he finished fifth at the Grade II Fountain of Youth (won by Derby contender Wildcat Red), and took 11th in the Breeder's Cup Juvenile back in November of last year.
Medal Count has really struggled on dirt, as the Breeder's Cup Juvenile and the Fountain of Youth were both on dirt surfaces. It wouldn't be surprising if oddsmakers didn't know what to do with Medal Count's odds based on his somewhat extensive experience in graded stakes races, but his inconsistencies and struggles on dirt tracks.
If you buy into historical trends, there's one more knock on Medal Count as he gears up for Saturday's race. He drew the No. 14 post position on Wednesday, which hasn't produced one winner in the Kentucky Derby in races dating back to 1970.
The 2014 Kentucky Derby will take place on Saturday, May 3 at 6:24PM ET (post time).