Lookin at Lucky Update

The 2010 Kentucky Derby favorite Lookin at Lucky appears to have all the pieces in place to rack up a victory at Churchill Downs this Saturday.

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Recent History:

Lookin at Lucky finished third behind Sidney’s Candy and Setsuko at the G1 Santa Anita Derby on April 3, which makes some bettors uneasy about laying money on the favorite this Saturday. But he did claim two back to back victories on December 19 of last year and March 13 of this year, with wins at the G1 CashCall Futurity and the G2 Rebel.

Kentucky Derby 136 Odds:

Lookin at Lucky opened at 8/1 to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby, but after favorite Eskendereya was scratched just six days before the race due to a left front leg injury, Lookin at Lucky became the favorite. He was 9/2 to win on Wednesday when the post positions were drawn and now according to oddsmakers from online sports book BroburySports.com, Lookin at Lucky is 4/1 to win at Churchill Downs.

Post Position:

As luck would actually have it, Lookin at Lucky drew the rail position for Saturday’s race. Since 1900, the rail has produced 12 winners, which, along with the No. 5 post position, is the most by any starting position in the Derby. Of course, the last Derby winner from the rail in a 20-horse field was War Admiral in 1937.

Outlook:

It’s hard not to like the favorite, who has looked great in practice all week. The problem is that he enters Saturday’s race with only two preps under his belt this season and has not broken the 100 Beyer plateau. He also lost to Sidney’s Candy in his latest race, although he could probably throw out that loss due to traffic problems and poor riding by jockey Garrett Gomez. There’s a reason why Lookin at Lucky is the favorite and we’re not arguing with the odds, but we think Sidney’s Candy might offer more value at 6/1.

For a complete list of updated odds on all 20 of the 2010 Kentucky Derby contenders, see below. (Each horse is listed by their post position.)

2010 Kentucky Derby 136 Updated Odds - Saturday, May 1, 2010 - Churchill Downs

1 Lookin at Lucky 4/1

2 Icebox 10/1

3 Noble's Promise 18/1

4 Super Saver 12/1

5 Line of David 22/1

6 Stately Victor 22/1

7 American Lion 22/1

8 Deans Kitten 40/1

9 Make Music For Me 40/1

10 Paddy O'Prado 18/1

11 Devil May Care 12/1

12 Conveyance 16/1

13 Jackson Bend 14/1

14 Mission Impazible 16/1

15 Discreetly Mine 45/1

16 Awesome Act 10/1

17 Dublin 17/1

18 Backtalk 50/1

19 Homeboykris 45/1

20 Sidney’s Candy 6/1

Bet 2010 Kentucky Derby Odds

Posted: 5/1/10 5:30PM ET

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