Homeboykris Update
Grade I winner Homeboykris has shown some flashes of brilliance in the past, but has long odds to overcome if he’s going to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby.
Recent History:
You’d have to go back to his second place showing in an allowance at Gulfstream on February 27 for Homeboykris’ last race. Before then, he finished fifth at the Holy Bull behind (among others) fellow Kentucky Derby contender Jackson Bend, who finished second.
When the odds were first released for this year’s Kentucky Derby, Homeboykris was only a 20/1 long shot. But his odds have steadily risen since then. According to oddsmakers from online sports book at Sports Interaction.com, Homeboykris is now a 45/1 long shot after he was 35/1 to win on Wednesday after the post positions were drawn.
As if he didn’t have enough going against him, Homeboykris will start in the No. 19 post position, which is as unlucky as they come. Since 1900, there have only been two post positions that have never won a Kentucky Derby: the No. 17 and No. 19 positions, respectively. If he’s going to win on Saturday, Homeboykris has a lot of bad history to overcome.
Outlook:
Not great. Homeboykris is coming off a nine-week layoff and the distance of the race could become a factor, as three of his last four races were just one mile. Trainer Richard Dutrow Jr. has experience training horses coming off a long layoff, but Homeboykris’ best Beyer is an 89 and he only has two starts this year without a stakes win. Throw in his unlucky post position draw and we think Backtalk at 50/1 is a better value than Homeboykris at 45/1.
For a complete list of updated odds on all 20 of the 2010 Kentucky Derby contenders, see below. (Each horse is listed by their post position.)
2010 Kentucky Derby 136 Updated Odds – Saturday, May 1, 2010 – Churchill Downs
1 Lookin at Lucky 4/1
2 Icebox 10/1
3 Noble’s Promise 18/1
4 Super Saver 12/1
5 Line of David 22/1
6 Stately Victor 22/1
7 American Lion 22/1
8 Deans Kitten 40/1
9 Make Music For Me 40/1
10 Paddy O’Prado 18/1
11 Devil May Care 12/1
12 Conveyance 16/1
13 Jackson Bend 14/1
14 Mission Impazible 16/1
15 Discreetly Mine 45/1
16 Awesome Act 10/1
17 Dublin 17/1
18 Backtalk 50/1
19 Homeboykris 45/1
20 Sidney’s Candy 6/1
Posted: 5/1/10 7:30AM ET