Stately Victor Update

Grade 1 winner Stately Victor shocked the field at the G1 Blue Grass, but can he surprise again? He’s a mid-range long shot to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby on Saturday.

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Recent History:

Stately Victor shocked the field at the G1 Blue Grass by winning despite being a 40/1 long shot entering the race. He beat out fellow Kentucky Derby contender Paddy O’Prado (who finished second) with a time of 1:48.69.

Kentucky Derby 136 Odds:

Stately Victor was a 35/1 long shot to win the Kentucky Derby when the post positions were drawn earlier in the week, but has since dropped to 22/1 according to oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com.

Post Position:

The 3-year-old colt will start in the No. 6 position, which has produced six winners since 1900.

Outlook:

The nice thing about Stately Victor is that he’s won on both turf and synthetic surfaces. The problem is that his win at the Blue Grass Stakes was over Polytrack and he’s never won on dirt. History has shown that contenders who make the Derby field by winning the last possible prep as longshots do not perform well at Churchill Downs and we don’t think Stately Victor will be any different. Despite having the same odds as American Lion, we feel don’t feel as though Stately Victor has the same value in terms of betting.

For a complete list of updated odds on all 20 of the 2010 Kentucky Derby contenders, see below. (Each horse is listed by their post position.)

2010 Kentucky Derby 136 Updated Odds - Saturday, May 1, 2010 - Churchill Downs

1 Lookin at Lucky 4/1

2 Icebox 10/1

3 Noble's Promise 18/1

4 Super Saver 12/1

5 Line of David 22/1

6 Stately Victor 22/1

7 American Lion 22/1

8 Deans Kitten 40/1

9 Make Music For Me 40/1

10 Paddy O'Prado 18/1

11 Devil May Care 12/1

12 Conveyance 16/1

13 Jackson Bend 14/1

14 Mission Impazible 16/1

15 Discreetly Mine 45/1

16 Awesome Act 10/1

17 Dublin 17/1

18 Backtalk 50/1

19 Homeboykris 45/1

20 Sidney’s Candy 6/1

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Posted: 5/1/10 10:30AM ET

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