Noble's Promise Update

Noble’s Promise has a Grade 1 win under his belt, but can he overcome a fifth place showing at the Arkansas Derby to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby?

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Recent History:

Noble’s Promise ran a disappointing fifth at the G1 Arkansas Derby on April 10, but it’s worth noting that he finished the race with a lung infection, plus cuts and bruises. He did produce a G1 victory at the Breeders’ Futurity in October of last year, proving that he can run with top competition.

Kentucky Derby 136 Odds:

Opening odds had Noble’s Promise at 15/1 and when the post positions were drawn earlier in the week, his odds went to 14/1 to win the Kentucky Derby. Oddsmakers from online sports book now list Noble’s Promise’s odds at 18/1, possibly presenting bettors with value.

Post Position:

Noble’s Promise will start out of the No. 3 post position, which has produced eight winners at the Kentucky Derby since 1900.


Noble’s Promise has rebounded from his injuries at the Arkansas Derby, but he isn’t battle-tested entering the Kentucky Derby on Saturday. Perhaps the most encouraging thing about the 3-year-old is that he finished second to Derby favorite Lookin at Lucky by only a head on February 13 at the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park in Arkansas. But while he does have a Grade 1 win under his belt and is talented, Noble’s Promise is better suited for shorter distances. Thus, he doesn’t present as much value as some of the other Derby contenders.

For a complete list of updated odds on all 20 of the 2010 Kentucky Derby contenders, see below. (Each horse is listed by their post position.)

2010 Kentucky Derby 136 Updated Odds - Saturday, May 1, 2010 - Churchill Downs

1 Lookin at Lucky 4/1

2 Icebox 10/1

3 Noble's Promise 18/1

4 Super Saver 12/1

5 Line of David 22/1

6 Stately Victor 22/1

7 American Lion 22/1

8 Deans Kitten 40/1

9 Make Music For Me 40/1

10 Paddy O'Prado 18/1

11 Devil May Care 12/1

12 Conveyance 16/1

13 Jackson Bend 14/1

14 Mission Impazible 16/1

15 Discreetly Mine 45/1

16 Awesome Act 10/1

17 Dublin 17/1

18 Backtalk 50/1

19 Homeboykris 45/1

20 Sidney’s Candy 6/1

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Posted: 5/1/10 12:30PM ET


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