Saints vs. Bucs Total Pick

NFL Predictions: Saints vs. Bucs Betting Total Set Too High? 12/29/17

Is the betting total for Sunday's NFC South matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Bucs set too high?

Game Info

Matchup: Saints (11-4) at Bucs (4-11)

TV: FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET

Line: Saints -6.5

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 49.5 points after hitting the board at 50. The Saints, meanwhile, opened as a 9-point road favorite but the line was bet down to 6.5 at the majority of online sports books.

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PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, the Saints are receiving 62% of the betting tickets but 64% of the money is on the Bucs to cover the point spread.

INJURY REPORT: For the Saints, Brandon Coleman (neck), Trey Hendrickson (ankle) and Terron Armstead (thigh) are all questionable for Sunday. Kenny Vaccaro (wrist), meanwhile, is out for the year.

For the Bucs, Robert Ayers (neck) and DeSean Jackson (ankle) are both questionable. J.R. Sweezy (leg), Vernon Hargreaves (hamstring), Demar Dotson (undisclosed) and Ali Marpet are all out for the year.

OUR PREDICTION: The under has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams and is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings when the game is played in Tampa. The under is also 4-0 in the Saints' last four games on grass, is 4-1 in their last five road games, and is 6-2 in their last eight conference games.

On the other side, the under is a perfect 5-0 in the Bucs' last five home games, is 5-1 in their last six divisional games, and is 5-2 in their last seven conference games. IN their last 15 games played in the month of December, the under is 10-4-1.

 

NFL WEEK 17 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: SAINTS/BUCS UNDER 49.5

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