Steelers vs. Chiefs Week 16 Prediction
The 7-6 Steelers are on the outside looking in when it comes to a playoff spot in the AFC, while the Chiefs are fighting for homefield advantage and a first-round bye. The two teams will meet at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET and with the Chiefs laying 10 points, what’s the best bet when it comes to this matchup?
475 Pittsburgh Steelers (+10) at 476 Kansas City Chiefs (-10); o/u 45.5
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 26, 2021
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Pittsburgh Steelers DFS Spin
Ben Roethlisberger completed 16-of-25 passes for 148 yards in the Steelers' 19-13, Week 15 win over the Titans. Big Ben added a one-yard rushing touchdown as the only touchdown of the game for the Steelers. It was his first rushing score since 2018. The thing Big Ben did best in this one was not turning the ball over, as Tennessee's four turnovers ultimately sank them in this one. Roethlisberger will have a chance to throw it 40-plus times again next week in a road date with the Chiefs where Pittsburgh will be big underdogs.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Patrick Mahomes completed 31-of-47 passes for 410 yards, three touchdowns and an interception in the Chiefs' 34-28, Week 15 overtime win over the Chargers, adding three carries for 32 additional yards. The seventh 400-yard game of Mahomes' career was his second of the season, with this one representing his new 2021 high-water mark. Mahomes relied on his old faithfuls of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, finding his top-two weapons for an otherworldly 22/339/3. That included some jaw-dropping after-the-catch work from Kelce and hard-to-believe grabs from Hill. They bailed out their quarterback on a night where he made some seriously shaky throws, none shakier than his interception to LB Uchenna Nwosu inside his own 10-yard line in the fourth quarter. Mahomes also turf missiled a walk-in touchdown to Mecole Hardman on a third quarter fourth down from the Chargers' two. That is to say nothing of the open pass catchers Mahomes was missing all night. It was after those second half mistakes, however, that Mahomes seemed to find himself, making huge plays with his legs and stick 'em throws with his arm. He now heads into a fantasy semifinals matchup with a collapsing Steelers defense, though Pittsburgh's struggles are particularly acute on the ground.
Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting Prediction
The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and is 4-0 in the last four meetings at Arrowhead Stadium. The under is also 37-14-1 in the Steelers’ last 52 road games, is 6-1-1 in their last eight games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games coming off a win. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last five home games, is 37-18 in their last 55 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest and is 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite.
NFL WEEK 16 BETTING PREDICTION: STEELERS/CHIEFS UNDER 45.5