49ers vs. Rams Prediction

NFL Week 16 Predictions: San Francisco 49ers vs. L.A. Rams 12/24/16

The 49ers have struggled all season but are they a smart underdog play this afternoon at 4:25PM ET versus the Rams?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Rams are 5-point home favorites versus the 49ers while the over/under currently sits at 39.5 points. Both the side and the total have moved off their original numbers, as the Rams have gone from -3 to -5 and the over/under dropped from 41 down to 39.5.

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SAN FRANCISCO KEY TRENDS: The 49ers are just 4-9-1 against the spread in their last 14 divisional games and are 10-25-1 against the number in their last 36 games overall. They're also 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games versus an opponent that owns a losing record, are 1-8 against the spread in their last nine conference games, and are 1-9-1 against the number in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

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LOS ANGELES KEY TRENDS: The Rams are winless at 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, are winless at 0-5 against the number in their last five games overall, and are winless at 0-5-1 at the betting window in their last six conference games. They're also just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games played in the month of December and are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: Both of these teams have struggled mightily this season so I don't understand why the Rams would be a 5-point favorite when both teams are crap. Granted, they have the better defense, but it's not as if Gregg Williams' unit has been playing well of late. I have more faith in Carlos Hyde and Colin Kaepernick moving the Niners' offense than I do Jared Goff and Todd Gurley, who looks like he lost most of the burst he had a year ago. With both teams capable of struggling, I'll take the five points with the Niners.


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