Packers vs. Vikings Total Prediction
The total for Monday night’s NFC North clash between the Packers and Vikings opened at 45.5 but has climbed to 47 points at most books. Is it wise to follow the line movement and take the over or is the under a better play in this matchup?
481 Green Bay packers (+5) at 482 Minnesota Vikings (-5); O/U 47
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, December 23
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Packers are drawing 62% of the betting tickets ahead of tonight’s game.
Green Bay Packers Fantasy Spin
Aaron Rodgers completed just 16-of-33 passes for 203 yards and one touchdown in the Packers' 21-13, Week 15 win over the Bears. Another lousy fantasy effort, as Rodgers completed a season-worst 48.5% of his passes. Marquez Valdes-Scantling dropped what would have been a 70-yard touchdown on the opening play of the game. Rodgers' lone score went to Davante Adams, who posted 7-103-1 as the lone real playmaker in the passing game for this offense. Rodgers has zero 250-yard games since Week 8 and will be a middling QB2 next week at the Vikings.
Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Spin
Kirk Cousins completed 19-of-25 passes for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the Vikings' 39-10, Week 15 win over the Chargers. Cousins only attempted five second-half passes with the Vikings steam-rolling the Bolts in their own backyard. Cousins' one score went to Irv Smith from close range. Mike Boone rushed for two touchdowns, and the Vikings also scored one on defense. Cousins will be a borderline QB1/2 next week at home against the Packers.
The under is 8-1 in the Packers’ last nine games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 8-1 in the Vikings’ last nine home games versus an opponent with a winning road record.
NFL Week 16 Prediction
The under has been profitable in this series, cashing in five straight when the game is played in Minnesota and in eight of the last 10 meetings between the Packers and Vikings overall. The under is also 7-0 in the Packers’ last seven divisional matchups, is 5-1 in the Packers’ last six games overall and is 5-1 in their last six conference tilts. On the other side, the under has cashed in 25 of the Vikings’ last 33 divisional games and is 10-4 in their last 14 conference matchups. With how poorly the Packers have looked at times offensively, coupled with the injuries the Vikings have at the running back position, the under looks like the safest play when it comes to the total.
NFL WEEK 16 PREDICTION: PACKERS/VIKINGS UNDER 47