Bills vs. Patriots Total Pick

NFL Week 16 Predictions: Bills vs. Patriots Total Set Too High? 12/21/17

Is the betting total for Sunday's AFC East matchup between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots set too high? Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Game Info

Matchup: Bills (8-6) vs. Patriots (11-3)

TV: CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET

Line: Patriots -11.5

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 47 points after also hitting the board at that same number. The Patriots, meanwhile, are 11.5-point home favorites to beat the Bills, who opened as a 10.5-point underdog.

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PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, 57% of betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the spread but 66% of the money is actually on the underdog Bills.

INJURY REPORT: For the Bills, E.J. Gaines (knee), Kelvin Benjamin (knee), and John Miller (ankle) are all questionable. On the other side, Alan Branch (knee) is out, but Kyle Van Noy (calf) and Chris Hogan (shoulder) are both questionable.

OUR PREDICTION: The under is 5-2 in the Bills' last seven road games and is 9-2 in their last 11 games on fieldturf. On the other side, the under is a perfect 5-0 in the Patriots' last five games in December and is 5-0 in their last five games versus a team with a winning record. The under is also 8-2 in the Patriots' last 10 games overall, is 6-2 in their last eight games coming off a win, and is 5-2 in their last seven AFC East divisional games.

 

NFL WEEK 16 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: BILLS/PATRIOTS UNDER 47

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