Falcons vs. Bucs Prediction

NFL Predictions: Will Falcons cover Spread vs. Bucs on MNF? 12/18/17

Will the Atlanta Falcons cover the point spread as nearly a touchdown-sized road favorite versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET?

Who Oddsmakers Like: Atlanta. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Falcons are 6.5-point road favorites versus the Bucs, who opened as 4-point home underdogs. The total, meanwhile, currently sits at 48.5 points after hitting the board at 47.5.

Who the Public Likes: As of Monday morning, 79% of the betting tickets are on the Falcons to cover the spread and 67% of the money is also on Atlanta.

Bet NFL Week 15 Games

Who the Trends Like: The favorite is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings between these two teams. The Falcons are also 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall, are 5-0 against the number in their last five Monday night games, and are 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight divisional games.

On the other side, the Bucs are 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 conference games, are winless at 0-5 against the number in their last five divisional games, and are 2-9-1 at the betting window in their last 12 games overall.

Who We Like: Atlanta. There's a lot of value in taking the home underdog tonight in a divisional game because the Bucs have nothing to lose and all the pressure is on the Falcons. The Lions and Cowboys both won over the weekend, which means they remain hot on Atlanta's tail for that sixth spot in the NFC playoff picture. The Falcons also still have an opportunity to win the NFC South if they win out, but the Saints and Panthers both did their jobs this weekend by winning their respective games. So again, all the pressure is on the Falcons to keep pace.

Still, if you want to be a playoff team then you have to boat-race this Tampa Bay team, which enters Monday night severely banged-up. The Bucs will be without linebacker Lavonte David (hamstring), defensive tackle Gerald McCoy (triceps), and cornerback Vernon Hargreaves (hamstring). The Bucs were struggling defensively with those players, so how are they going to fare without those defenders? Ugly.

So yeah, taking the 6.5 points offers value. But the Falcons are the better team, they have ever reason to win, and they're healthy outside of Tevin Coleman (out/concussion). I'm going to lay the points now since the line is under a touchdown.

 

NFL WEEK 15 PREDICTIONS: ATLANTA FALCONS -6.5

Recent NFL Discussions

GOLF MLB COLL FOR FRI THURS OK BUT on Fri, Oct 2020 by Timmy1961
Sunday Sharp Action on Fri, Oct 2020 by NeverSplitAces
COLL AND PRO PIGSKIN FOR THURS WED OK on Thu, Oct 2020 by Timmy1961
MLB WS GAME 2 WED TUES NOTES 1-4 ROUGH START on Wed, Oct 2020 by Timmy1961
Loading...

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Giants vs. Eagles TNF Prediction NFC East foes meet on Thursday Night Football this week, as the Eagles host the Giants at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Eagles are laying 4.5 points but are just 1-4-1 to start...
Thumbnail Cardinals vs. Cowboys Over/Under Pick The total for tonight’s Monday Night Football clash between the Cardinals and Cowboys opened at 52 but has climbed to 55 points at most sportsbooks. Will these...
Thumbnail Cardinals vs. Cowboys Spread Prediction The second game of Monday night’s double-header is set for 8:15 p.m. ET in Dallas where the Cowboys will host the Cardinals. Will Andy Dalton lead the ‘Boys...
Thumbnail Chiefs vs. Bills Total Prediction The total for Monday night’s Chiefs-Bills matchup is sitting at a whopping 56 points after opening at 55 at most sports books. Even given the offensive firepower on...
Thumbnail Chiefs vs. Bills Spread Prediction The first of two Monday night NFL games will take place in Buffalo where Josh Allen and the Bills will host the Chiefs at 5:00 p.m. ET. Kansas City is favored but is...

NFL Headlines