Bills vs. Steelers Spread Prediction
A pivotal matchup in the AFC will take place tonight in Pittsburgh where the Steelers will host the Bills at 8:20 p.m. ET for Sunday Night Football. What’s the best play for bettors as Pittsburgh is listed as a small home favorite?
321 Buffalo Bills (+1) at 322 Pittsburgh Steelers (-1); O/U 37
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 15, 2019
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bills are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin
Devin Singletary rushed 18 times for 89 yards in the Bills' Week 14 loss to the Ravens, adding six receptions for 29 additional yards. The 118 yards from scrimmage were Singletary's second most of the season, while his 38-yard rumble in the fourth quarter was his longest as a pro. His six receptions were a new career high. Although he doesn't generally break away for big plays, Singletary is slippery enough to routinely gain 4-5 yards. Playing more and more of the Bills' snaps, Singletary has solidified his RB2 stock for the fantasy playoffs, though the Steelers are an imposing Week 15 matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Spin
NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports James Conner (questionable, shoulder) will start Week 15 against the Bills but will split carries with Benny Snell and Jaylen Samuels. The plan is to ease Conner in coming off a three-game absence. It's a sensible approach given Conner's history—durability has never been his strong suit—though Snell and Samuels' continued presence obviously puts a damper on his fantasy prospects. Conner remains the favorite for goal-line looks in Pittsburgh, but his role in what projects as a backfield timeshare limits him to back-end RB2 status.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bills are 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven road games and are 5-1-1 against the number in their last seven games when they’re an underdog.
The Steelers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games overall and have covered the spread in five of their last six home games as well.
The Steelers have the second-best pass rush in the NFL behind the 49ers but the Bills have one of the more underrated offensive lines in football. Josh Allen’s ability to move inside and out of the pocket will also help to negate Pittsburgh’s pass rush and Singletary has provided the running game a jolt as well. Meanwhile, the Steelers remain limited offensively with Devlin “Duck” Hodges under center. There’s little debating that Mike Tomlin made the right choice to bench Mason Rudolph for Hodges, but the fact remains that the Steelers’ passing game is limited. With no threat of a consistent running game, Pittsburgh also won’t be able to attack Buffalo’s biggest weakness, which is its run defense. (In fairness, the Bills have tightened up that area of concern over the past few weeks.) Bottom line: While it’s tough to win in Pittsburgh (especially in prime time), the Bills are the better overall team.
NFL Week 15 Prediction: Buffalo Bills +1