Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction
Will Tom Brady and the New England Patriots cover the point spread as a double-digit road favorite tonight when they take on their AFC East rivals the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football?
Who Oddsmakers Like: New England. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 10.5-point road favorites versus the Dolphins, who opened as 12-point home underdogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 48 points after hitting the board at 48.5.
Who the Public Likes: As of Monday morning, 76% of betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the spread and 75% of the money is, too.
Who the Trends Like: The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams while the Patriots are 5-1 against the number in their last six games against the Dolphins. That said, New England is just 1-4 at the betting window in its last five trips to Miami. The over is also 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams.
Who We Like: New England. Since Week 5, the Patriots have allowed the fewest points in the league. Remember when they had all of those issues defensively? Yeah, Bill Belichick ironed them out. Miami has had trouble scoring all season and now faces the best defensive unit (from a scoring standpoint) in the league over the past two months.
The Patriots are 13-3 against the spread in their last 16 road games, are 4-1 against the number in their last five divisional games, and are 34-15-2 at the betting window in their last 51 games overall. They're also 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 conference games and 10-1 ATS in thie rlast 11 games when playing an opponent with a losing record.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 0-8 against the spread in their last eight Monday games. They're also 0-3-1 at the betting window in their last four divisional games and are 1-4-2 against the number in their last seven games overall.
NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -10 (buy the hook)