Texans vs. Colts Prediction

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 14 NFL Predictions 12/11/16

Will the Colts hand the Texans their fourth consecutive loss while covering for bettors today at 1:00PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Colts are 6.5-point home favorites versus the Texans while the over/under currently sits at 47.5 points. The spread for this game hasn't moved off the 6.5-point number but the total has gone from 47 up to 47.5.

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TEXANS KEY TRENDS: The Texans are a near-perfect 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus AFC South rivals and are 9-1-1 at the betting window in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. That said, they're just 2-5-1 at the betting window in their last eight games overall and are 1-5 against the number in their last six road games.

COLTS KEY TRENDS: The Colts are 5-2-1 at the betting window in their last eight games overall and have been a solid team in December, going 17-7-1 against the spread in their last 25 games played in this month. They also have a winning ATS record at home, going 28-13-1 over their last 42 games in Indianapolis and are 19-6-2 against the number in their last 27 divisional games.

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OUR PREDICTION: These two teams are evenly matched on paper but one is fighting its way back into contention while the other is fighting its way out of a playoff spot. The Texans are just 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six trips to Indy and are 1-5-2 against the number in their last eight games overall versus the Colts. Andrew Luck is starting to play at an elite level again while the Texans are attempting to win in spite of their quarterback, Brock Osweiler. Laying nearly a touchdown in a divisional game seems like a lot to ask for, but what this game boils down to for me is backing Osweiler or Luck. The choice is obvious.

 

NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -6.5

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