49ers vs. Texans Prediction

NFL Predictions: Will Jimmy Garoppolo lead 49ers to win vs. Texans? 12/10/17

Will Jimmy Garoppolo lead the San Francisco 49ers to another victory on Sunday when they visit the Houston Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET?

Who Oddsmakers Like: Houston. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Texans are 1.5-point home favorites to beat the 49ers, who were a 3-point underdog earlier in the week. As for the total, the number hit the board at 43 but has been bet up a full point to 45.

Who the Public Likes: As of Sunday morning, the Texans were receiving 53% of the betting tickets, which is somewhat surprising. I thought Garoppolo would sway public bettors in taking the Niners after they won last week in Chicago. Also, 67% of the money is on Houston as well.

Bet NFL Week 14 Games

Who the Trends Like: The 49ers have covered the spread in five of their last seven road games but they're just 3-9-1 against the number in their last 13 games in December. The Texans have been a bad bet in this month too, failing to cover in four of their last five games played in December.

Who We Like: Houston. The Texans have been horrible thanks to a slew of injuries to key players on defense and, more importantly, because Tom Savage was forced into action after sensational rookie DeShaun Watson tore his knee. Still, I'm not sure why the point spread in this game isn't a field goal. If home teams are normally granted three points, are we actually suggesting that the 49ers are good enough to erase that benefit? Come on.

Believe it or not, the Texans have out-gained their last three opponents. They only have one win to show for that effort but they should have covered last week in Tennessee (a late touchdown provided a gift for Titans bettors and a crushing blow to Texans backers). The Texans are also 12-3-1 against the spread in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest.

The Niners, meanwhile, have been a horrible play coming off an ATS win. In their last 10 games following victory at the betting window, San Francisco is just 3-7 ATS in its next game. If you really feel compelled to play this one, I think there's some value in the home squad.

 

NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS: HOUSTON TEXANS -1.5

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Where Will Aaron Rodgers Play in 2023 Which NFL team will Aaron Rodgers take his next regular season snap with for the 2023 NFL season? Here are our favorite three options.
Thumbnail Which Team Will Sign Derek Carr? Which team will Derek Carr take his next regular season sap? The Saints are currently favorite to land Carr but is there a team with more...
Thumbnail SB LVII Touchdown Prop Predictions When it comes to the countless touchdown props listed for Super Bowl 57 between the Chiefs and Eagles, which odds give bettors the best value? Kickoff from...
Thumbnail Jalen Hurts SB LVII Prop Predictions Jalen Hurts was an MVP candidate this season for the Eagles and now has his team on the verge of winning its second Super Bowl title in...
Thumbnail Patrick Mahomes SB LVII Prop Predictions Patrick Mahomes was named the Associated Press’ 2022 most valuable player earlier this week and later tonight, perhaps he’ll be a...

NFL Headlines