Bills vs. Raiders Prediction

NFL Week 13 Predictions: Buffalo Bills vs. Oakland Raiders 12/4/16

Will the Bills pull off the upset today in Oakland when they visit the Raiders at 4:05PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Raiders are 3-point home favorites versus the Bills while the over/under currently sits at 48.5. The point spread in this game hasn't moved off that number of 3 but the total has gone from 50 down to 48.5 at the majority of sports books.

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BILLS KEY TRENDS: The Bills are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game and are 5-2-1 against the number in their last eight games when playing an opponent with a winning record. That said, Buffalo has failed to cover in four of its last five games overall and is just 2-5 at the betting window in its last seven games versus AFC opponents.

RAIDERS KEY TRENDS: The Raiders have covered the spread in four of their last five games overall, are 4-0 against the number in their last four games versus a team with a winning record and are 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games versus AFC opponents. That said, they're just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 home games and are 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: If the Bills can get LeSean McCoy and their running game humming, they have a shot to pull off the upset. The Raiders are coming off an emotional come-from-behind win against the Panthers last Sunday in which Derek Carr injured his thumb. There's a chance Oakland can overlook an average Buffalo team, but one that seems to play up to its competition under Rex Ryan. Plus, we don't know how the injury will affect Carr. Last week he threw a horrible interception before leading the Raiders back in the fourth quarter to beat the Panthers. There's something off about this line, as it's surprising to see the Raiders aren't favored by more. I'll roll the dice on the underdog.

 

NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS +3

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