Broncos vs. Dolphins Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Denver is favored on the road in this game, as the Broncos are getting odds of -2 points against the Dolphins. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 40 points. Denver has won two straight meetings with the Dolphins, but Miami has covered the spread in seven of the last eight in this series. The public betting in this game has Denver getting 51 percent of the wagers on the road. Today’s contest will take place from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida and will air live on FOX.
Miami is coming off a 35-17 loss at New England last Sunday for its fifth straight loss. The Dolphins are now 4-7 on the season while posting a 3-6-2 record against the spread. They are 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games. Miami is putting up just 15.8 points and 303.1 yards per game this season. Jay Cutler is dealing with a concussion but expected to play today. He has thrown for 1,602 yards and 13 touchdowns this year, but also has nine interceptions. Jarvis Landry is the leading receiver with 75 catches for 637 yards and six touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has emerged as the new lead back. He has 200 yards on 42 carries with one score. Defensively, Miami is giving up 26.3 points and 356.2 yards per game. Cameron Wake is leading the team with 29 tackles and eight sacks.
Denver is on a 7-game losing streak following a 21-14 loss at Oakland last week. The Broncos are now 3-8 on the season while posting a 2-8-1 record against the spread. The Broncos haven’t covered during this current 7-game losing streak. The Broncos are putting up just 17.9 points and 340.5 yards per game this season. Paxton Lynch suffered an ankle injury last week that will keep him out and Trevor Siemian returns to the starting QB role. He has thrown for 1,818 yards this season with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. C.J. Anderson is the leading rusher with 585 yards and two scores while Demaryius Thomas has 58 catches for 651 yards and three scores. Defensively, Denver is allowing just 300 yards per game, but giving up 25.5 points per contest. Aqib Talib, their top corner, is suspended for this game due to his fight with Michael Crabtree last weekend.
I can’t say I feel great about going with the Dolphins, but they have owned this series at the betting window and Denver has struggled with some poor teams during the losing streak, including losses at home to the Giants and Bengals. Miami certainly hasn’t been great either, but they have scored at least 17 points in their last four games and have been able to show some semblance of offense.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: MIAMI DOLPHINS -2