Titans vs. Colts Week 13 Prediction
The 6-5 Titans will take on the 6-5 Colts in a pivotal matchup in the AFC South on Sunday. Laying only 1.5 points after opening as a 3-point favorite, are the Colts the play or will the Titans pull off the small upset in Indy at 1:00 p.m. ET?
457 Tennessee Titans (+1.5) at 458 Indianapolis Colts (-1.5); O/U 43
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 1, 2019
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Colts are receiving 58% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Derrick Henry (hamstring) wasn't listed on the Titans' final injury report. Henry is good to go after practicing in full on Friday. Continue to fire up the Titans' workhorse RB as a high-end RB1 regardless of the matchup. He's set up well this week against the the Colts' 19th-ranked defense in run DVOA.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
Coach Frank Reich confirmed Marlon Mack (hand) won't suit up in Week 13. The Colts somewhat surprisingly fed Jonathan Williams a workhorse role in Mack's absence, as the journeyman posted 26-104-1 rushing and 3-17-0 receiving lines on a robust 67% snap rate in Week 12. Nyheim Hines (9-51-0 rushing, 2-10-0 receiving) was also involved, while Jordan Wilkins played just one snap. Williams is the best fantasy option of the bunch as long as he continues to receive Mack's full allotment of early-down snaps and touches.
NFL Betting Trends
The Titans are just 15-33-3 against the spread in their last 51 divisional games and are 10-22-2 against the number in their last 34 lined games in December.
The Colts are a perfect 7-0 against the spread in their last seven matchups versus AFC South opponents and are 40-19 against the spread in their last 59 games coming off a loss.
The Titans are just 3-13 against the spread in their last 16 games versus the Colts and are 1-7 against the number in their last eight games played at Lucas Oil Stadium. That said, if ever Tennessee were to finally knock off the Colts in Indy, Sunday is as good as time as ever. The Colts will be without both Mack and T.Y. Hilton so I expect their offense to struggle (especially against a relatively underrated Titans defense). Henry is also rolling right now and Ryan Tannehill has given the rest of the offense a spark that not many saw coming when he replaced the benched Marcus Mariota over a month ago. Given the Colts’ injuries, the way this line has moved and the current state of the Titans, I like Tennessee to pull off the small upset.
NFL Week 13 Prediction: Tennessee Titans +1.5